Description

This analysis provides a forecast of XTZ prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-12-28 0.361404 0.394888 0.430571 0.471509 0.517277 0.566984 0.625204
2026-01-04 0.309457 0.356847 0.410780 0.477061 0.556808 0.650277 0.769017
2026-01-11 0.277740 0.332019 0.396594 0.479806 0.585238 0.715785 0.891879
2026-01-18 0.254352 0.312822 0.384881 0.481358 0.608891 0.774201 1.008858
2026-01-25 0.237152 0.298809 0.377127 0.485525 0.634258 0.835087 1.133675
2026-02-01 0.217786 0.279912 0.360818 0.475942 0.638952 0.866881 1.219654
2026-02-08 0.205648 0.269310 0.354201 0.478241 0.659302 0.921268 1.343216
2026-02-15 0.193212 0.257206 0.344330 0.474662 0.670156 0.961881 1.449256
2026-02-22 0.184017 0.248812 0.338795 0.476480 0.688538 1.014719 1.579806
2026-03-01 0.173631 0.237975 0.328892 0.470806 0.694564 1.048218 1.681406
2026-03-08 0.163919 0.227461 0.318680 0.463700 0.697391 1.076260 1.776071
2026-03-15 0.153180 0.214808 0.304485 0.449315 0.687134 1.081330 1.829694
2026-03-22 0.148882 0.211566 0.304351 0.457230 0.714385 1.152992 2.015999
2026-03-29 0.144256 0.207557 0.302775 0.462668 0.737882 1.220410 2.203578
2026-04-05 0.139356 0.202818 0.299710 0.465313 0.756569 1.280714 2.384970
2026-04-12 0.134583 0.197993 0.296172 0.466808 0.773161 1.338492 2.568907
2026-04-19 0.130695 0.194333 0.294247 0.470822 0.794469 1.407098 2.785660
2026-04-26 0.124395 0.186504 0.285082 0.461590 0.790435 1.425604 2.893629
2026-05-03 0.120773 0.182813 0.282526 0.463805 0.808045 1.488959 3.113608
2026-05-10 0.116321 0.177550 0.277042 0.460356 0.814378 1.529633 3.285762
2026-05-17 0.113102 0.174159 0.274531 0.462108 0.830944 1.593293 3.524155
2026-05-24 0.108812 0.168790 0.268348 0.456641 0.832565 1.624790 3.685710
2026-05-31 0.104545 0.163278 0.261654 0.449794 0.830810 1.648585 3.830772